Trends in hip and distal femoral fracture rates in Italy from 2007 to 2017

Osteoporosis-related fractures are a growing public health concern worldwide due to high societal and economic burden. The study aims to assess trends in incidence rates of hip and distal femoral fractures and in the use of anti-osteoporosis drugs in Italy between 2007 and 2017. Patients with hip and distal femoral fractures (ICD-9-CM codes 820.x and 821.x) were identified in the Italian National Hospital Discharge Database while anti osteoporosis medication data were retrieved from the National Observatory on the Use of Medicines Database. A joinpoint regression analysis was performed to identify the years where the trends in incidence rates of hip and distal femoral fractures changed significantly; the average annual percentage change for the period of observation was estimated. Hospitalizations for femoral fractures were 991,059, of which 91.4% were hip fractures and 76.5% occurred in women. Age-standardized hip fractures rate per 100,000 person-years decreased both in women (-8.7%; from 789.9 in 2007 to 721.5 in 2017) and in men (-4.3%; from 423.9 to 405.6), while the rate of distal femoral fractures increased by 23.9% in women (from 67.78 to 83.95) and 22.7% in men (from 27.76 to 34.06). These changes were associated with an increment in the use of anti-osteoporosis drugs from 2007 to 2011 (from 9.1 to 12.4 DDD/1000 inhabitants/day), followed by a plateau in the period 2012-2017. The use of bisphosphonates increased progressively from 2007 to 2010 (from 8.2 to 10.5 DDD/1000 inhabitants/day), followed by a plateau and then decreased from 2015 onwards. The decreasing trend of hip fractures could be related to a major intake of anti-osteoporosis medications while the increment of distal femoral fractures might be due to population aging and to the use of bisphosphonates and denosumab. Further research is needed to identify and implement interventions to prevent hip and distal femoral fractures.